To begin with, it is worth defining the concept of "value bet". Value bet is a variant in which the player gets a certain advantage over the line of the bookmaker. To put it simply, an overestimated coefficient. The game at such rates is called the value betting. That is, the player conducts his own analysis of the sporting event, compares his estimates of the probability with the odds and finds some discrepancy.
Sportsbook lines are not always ideal for non-top events If a player knows the lower leagues well, has information about the lineups, injuries, current form, etc., then he gets a certain advantage in the initial assessment of the match line. It is difficult to use such data, since you have to be completely immersed in the topic, which is always difficult when it comes to small leagues. In addition, the bookmaker responds very quickly to any deposited amounts on one of the outcomes and quickly changes the line.
● Bookmaker error
There are times when bookmaker lines are not spelled out perfectly, especially when there are multiple events involved. But this cannot be called a “valuable bet”, since in the overwhelming majority of cases the bookmaker will calculate such a choice at a coefficient of 1.0.
● Dropping odds
Not the most obvious type of value. In this case, the player observes how the line moves for the match, how the odds change. Value appears when odds for one of the outcomes become abnormally low. It is beneficial to play the opposite bet here, since an incorrect assessment of the event appears due to the line load.
These are the so-called overweight bets. Sometimes the bookie, for personal reasons or for other reasons, is in no hurry to change the odds for a sporting event after other bookmakers on the market. In this case, the player can take advantage of the fact that some bookmaker has a more attractive, valuable odds per event. As you can see, the value betting strategy implies maximum involvement in the world of sports betting. Without his own analysis, the player will simply get lost in forecasts, expert assessments, etc.
Every novice player should understand that the search for value betting is a difficult and painstaking job, for which beginners are mostly not ready. Bookmakers try to react as quickly as possible to their mistakes: it is not always possible to make a bet for a “valuable coefficient”, and the value bet turns into a regular one.
As a result, you are allowed to use the value betting strategy, as it is not prohibited anywhere. However, not every bettor will be able to take advantage of this option.
Bookmakers have significantly improved their literacy level in the initial line placement, and it is becoming increasingly difficult to find truly misjudged bets. In addition, this is a sport, and here no one will give a 100% guarantee of victory. It is extremely important when using the value betting strategy to analyze not one or two bets, not even ten. You need to watch a long distance. Only it will show how correctly the player interprets the concept of value.
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Our tipsters cover over 100 football leagues and cup competitions worldwide. These include the English Premier League, LaLiga, Serie A, 1. Bundesliga, Ligue 1, Champions League, Europa League and Europa Conference League, as well as smaller leagues in Africa, Asia, Australia, Oceania and the Americas.
The average ROI for our members is 20% per month.
An ROI of 5% on 1,000 bets is considered to be pretty good based on surveys of hundreds of real bettors.
Since we prefer to be safe with our bankroll, we recommend proportional betting strategy for all football bets.
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