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Value betting strategy

Value betting strategy

The only realistic way to make money from betting is finding value in the odds on a consistent and regular basis.

In order to do this effectively, you must have a solid understanding of value.

In the long run, your chances of long-term success are virtually zero if you do not bet for value. There is no other way to put it.

Value Bets – What They Are And Where To Find Them?

Among fans of sports betting, the term "value bets" is very popular. So what does it mean and how should novice bettors deal with it? Is it possible to really play exclusively on value in bets and win thanks to this strategy?

Let's try to figure it out. In order to understand the concept of "value bet", it is necessary to define it first.

Value bet is a variant in which the player gets a certain advantage over the line of the bookmaker. In other words, it is an overestimated coefficient.

It is called value betting when the game is played at these rates. As a result, the player analyzes the sporting event in his own way, compares his estimates of the probability with the odds provided by the bookmaker, and finds discrepancies.

Why do values appear in the lines of bookmakers?

Wrong bookmaker analysis of a sporting event.

Sportsbook analysts make mistakes when analyzing events. It is not always possible for bookmakers to line up the best lines for events that are not top-notch in the sports world.

If a player knows the lower leagues of a division well, has information about the lineups, injuries, current form, etc., then he gets a certain advantage in the initial assessment of the match line.

It is difficult to use such data, since you have to be completely immersed in the topic, which is always difficult when it comes to small leagues. In addition, the bookmaker responds very quickly to any deposited amounts on one of the outcomes and quickly changes the line.

Bookmaker error.

Bookmaker lines, especially when there are many events in them, are not always perfectly spelled out. But this cannot be called a “valuable bet”, since in the overwhelming majority of cases the bookmaker will calculate such a choice at a coefficient of 1.0.

Dropping odds.

Not the most obvious type of value. In this case, the player observes how the line moves for the match, how the odds change. Value appears when odds for one of the outcomes become abnormally low. It is beneficial to play the opposite bet here, since an incorrect assessment of the event appears due to the line load. These are the so-called overweight bets.

Sometimes the bookie, for personal reasons or for other reasons, is in no hurry to change the odds for a sporting event after other bookmakers on the market. In this case, the player can take advantage of the fact that some bookmaker has a more attractive, valuable odds per event.

As you can see, the value betting strategy implies maximum involvement in the world of sports betting. Without his own analysis, the player will simply get lost in forecasts, expert assessments, etc.

Should you use value betting in your bets?

Value bets are not a myth in the sports betting world, but a very real working term. If the player knows how to find inconsistencies in the bookmaker's lines, he can use it.

Many novice gamblers ask themselves the question “how to make money on value bets?”, and here is the time to warn them. Every novice player should understand that the search for value betting is a difficult and painstaking job, for which beginners are mostly not ready.

Bookmakers try to react as quickly as possible to their mistakes: it is not always possible to make a bet for a “valuable coefficient”, and the value bet turns into a regular one or disappears from the line altogether. Therefore, you can use the value betting strategy, it is not prohibited anywhere. But this option is not available to every bettor.

In recent years, bookmakers have substantially improved their literacy level when it comes to placing initial lines, and it is becoming increasingly difficult to find truly misjudged bets. Furthermore, this is a sport, which means no one can guarantee victory 100% of the time.

It is extremely important when using the value betting strategy to analyze not one or two bets, not even ten. You need to watch a long distance. Only it will show how correctly the player interprets the concept of value.
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